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Find the favorites in Florida this week with odds shorter than 20-1 here when sportsbooks open odds midday Monday. Arnold Palmer Invitational betting guide: 8 picks our expert loves The opening hole is a downhill, 500-yard "Par-5." (I'm air-quoting the designation because it could just as easily be labeled a difficult par-4.) Although that list spans drastically different profiles of players, there is a prevailing trend of veterans whove proven consistent in difficult scoring conditions. With that said, there are still plenty of signals to draw from other long and difficult comp conditions. About 75% of approach shots come from beyond 150 yards. PGA Tour Average Proximity to Hole - Fairway (in yards) Im not sure of the exact circumstance, but its not hard to find an example that illustrates the point. It's also why Scott talks a lot about how it's much easier to avoid making bogeys than it is to make birdies. The 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational follows the Sentry Tournament of Champions, WM Phoenix Open, and Genesis Invitational as the fourth Designated, Elevated event of the season, and third over the last four weeks. Harman definitely has the short game that is his strength but off of the tee and with the irons he is not too shabby either. Nine of the Top 10 players in the OWGR are present, 23 of the Top 25 and 44 of the Top 50 players in the world rankings are scheduled to tee it up this Thursday. 1 player, hottest golfer in the world, and inevitable favorite in Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, Jon Rahm, claims the top spot in the model this week. For Bay Hill course specs, hole-by-hole breakdown with yardages, and past API winners with their pre-tournament odds, visit our Arnold Palmer odds page. The biggest jump in importance at Bay Hill in terms of correlation with SG: TOT isSG: Short GameandSG: APP, which enter the top 10 of key stat categories this week. This is a huge week forGood Drives Gained. After McIlroy, the rest of the top 10 in Course History includesTyrrell Hatton, Francesco Molinari, Sungjae Im, Jason Day, Adam Scott, Scottie Scheffler, Matt Fitzpatrick, Justin Rose, and Tommy Fleetwood. Validation: Scottie Scheffler's victory at the 2022 Arnold Palmer Cantlay ranks 5th on Tour in Total Driving, being both long and accurate. Even a flawless shot might result in a double bogey! Matsuyama, Young, Homa, and Sungjae Im are all players Ill be keeping a close eye on when odds release Monday. LPGA Tour player average distances: Driver, irons, wedges through the bag While recent form is always important, this is one of the weeks Ill be leaning more heavily on a mixed condition model to simulate performance in other comparable conditions. Over the last 10 years, Dustin Johnson is the only favorite at odds shorter that 25-1 to win the Genesis Invitational. There are so many memorable holes at Riviera CC: Look at Viktor Hovland's line on 15. Justin Thomas hits it as close as anybody on the PGA Tour. The tournament is one of five spring college events airing on Golf Channel . To nobodys surprise, Jon Rahm and Rory McIlroy rank very high for me statistically this week but with their prices so short, Ive gone a little further down the board for my selections. As far as correlated courses, I looked at Scottsdale. Like TPC Scottsdale, Augusta National, and Harbour Town, Bay Hill is another course in which we see course form repeat itself over time, meaning players that have done well here in the past, tend to continually do so. Lets also remember, he lost in a playoff to Scottie Scheffler last year at TPC Scottsdale, one of our correlated courses. Last year, the weather took a turn for the worst over the weekend, quickly becoming a scrambling contest with these greens nearly impossible to reach in regulation. GOLF.com and GOLF Magazine are published by EB GOLF MEDIA LLC, a division of 8AM GOLF. What Are the Average Yards Per Club for a Pro Golfer? In fact the wedge can make or break a score on a hole. In this field over the last 36 rounds, Day is 8th in SG Ball Striking, 11th in SG Approach, and 20th in SG Putting. PGA Tour golfers are, not surprisingly, capable of hitting the ball farther than average players -- not only off the tee but also with each club in the bag. Some of the bigger names in this field that check that box are Gary Woodland, Sungjae Im, Jon Rahm, Patrick Cantlay, Wyndham Clark, Tom Kim, Tom Hoge, Keegan Bradley, Collin Morikawa, and Rory McIlroy. His putter continues to trend, now gaining with the flat stick in six consecutive events, so if that continues, theres no question he has the tools to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Start the Golf Season off right with InsideGOLF ($100 value - just $20). That changes this year, however, with the Arnold Palmer Invitational now a Designated Event with a higher purse and expectations for all top players to appear. They made names for themselves by contending in difficult conditions against the games best, so breakout opportunity exists here for yet-to-be-proven stars. When looking at the Top 26 players in the OWGR, 15 of them are priced shorter than 35-1 to win this week at Bay Hill. On average a professional golfer on the PGA Tour or LPGA Tour will hit pitching wedges an average distance of 130-150 yards. The top 10 in this category are: McIlroy, Fitzpatrick, Scheffler, Finau, Homa, Bradley, Morikawa, Shane Lowry, Sungjae Im, and Tommy Fleetwood. Previewing the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational with our top picks based on the best PGA Tour odds. easily enough to nab his PGA Tour card for 2022/23. Matsuyama has six top-20 finishes over the last two years between The Farmers, The Masters, Arnold Palmer Invitational, and U.S. Open at The Country Club. The answer is that his approach play was very good, but proximity as a measure of approach play was not. Weve seenMatt Everywin as often asTiger Woodssince 2010 (twice). Basket. No, he is not a tout. But Tiger is nothing if not a competitor, so we should assume he wouldnt be accelerating his recovery time to enter this field if he himself didnt believe he could contend. Bay Hill is no different with five par-4s measuring over 450 yards and all four par-3s measuring over 200 yards. In. Since 2020, Zal has delivered 17 top-10 finishes, 12 of which coming in comp difficult conditions between Torrey Pines, Muirfield Village, Riviera CC, Winged Foot, The Country Club, Southern Hills, Kiawah Island, Augusta National, and right here at Bay Hill. The top-10 players in terms of Proximity 150+ are Collin Morikawa, Jon Rahm, Cam Davis, Xander Schauffele, Rory McIlroy, Cameron Young, Tom Hoge, Justin Rose, Gary Woodland, and Sungjae Im. Since 2015, Matsuyama has posted four top-11 finishes in seven appearances. Here is everything you can expect from Bay Hill at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Brian Harman is the 24th ranked player in the world yet is priced more than 3.5 times longer than 35-1. Riviera CC is a refreshing reminder that you can design a golf course to be challenging at just 7,300 yards. Quail Hollow would seem to be the best place to start when looking for comps to Bay Hill. Even they will struggle to hit a high percentage of fairways with the firm conditions, undulated runoffs, and intermittent pick ups in wind. They can hit 5-iron shots 195 to 205 yards; 6-iron shots 180 to 190 yards; 7-iron shots 165 to 180 yards; 8-iron shots 150 to 170 yards; and 9-iron shots 140 to 155 yards. Its a beautiful oasis and architectural marvel, built into the cityscape of Los Angeles. PGA TOUR | The Honda Classic Chris Kirk birdied the first hole of a playoff to claim the fifth victory of his PGA TOUR career - and the third finish of T3 or better in his last four starts since putting the NEW Pro V1x golf ball in play to begin the season. The Country Club, Bethpage Black, Winged Foot, Torrey Pines (South), The Ocean Course at Kiawah Island, and Augusta National all serve as strong comps to simulate scoring in difficult conditions. The "feel" isn't necessarily the feeling of the ball making contact with the putter face. There's a minimum. Players will not have a wedge in their hands too often, unless they have chosen to lay up out of the rough. With all the course-fit profiles in mind, Im leaning early towards the below player pool for DFS. Now we head for another one of the elevated events, The Arnold Palmer Invitational and he has five more picks as well as a comprehensive preview. Big Sky Tournament Odds: Is Two-Seed Montana State The Rightful Favorite? No, he is not a tout. With a player recovering from injury, such as Tiger Woods for example, its fair to expect play to get worse over four rounds as fatigue sets in. The typical carry for a 3-iron shot was 203 yards; for a 4-iron 189; for a 5-iron 181; for a 6-iron 169; for a 7-iron 160; for an 8-iron 149; and for a 9-iron 136. This helps me get shallow which is needed to get lower flight and spin. Not many PGA Tour events these days feature 4 of rough plus green complexes that can run as firm as 12 on the stimpmeter if the elements allow. You can follow Kannon on Twitter at@LasVegasGolferand you can read below to see his favorite plays for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, which kicks off Thursday at Bay Hill, in Orlando, Fla. Keep scrolling past Kannons picks, and youll also see data from Chirp,a free-to-play mobile platform andGOLF.comaffiliate that features a range of games with enticing prizes, giving fans all kinds of ways to engage in the action without risking any money. With its elevated status, this event feature virtually every eligible player on the PGA TOUR. Dustin Johnson and Bubba Watson were the only other tour players to top the 300-yard mark, as both averaged 302.1 yards on their drives. PGA TOUR - European Tour - 4 Most Recent Majors - Champions Tour - LPGA - Korn Ferry - Custom Performance Analysis Where Winners Come From - examine position of tournament winners per round - by player or tournament Prior Tournaments - analyize previous 4 Weeks on tour and at this weeks tournament. That changed on Thursday. But one thing I want to point out is how TIGHT the dispersion is from this distance. That list includes McIlroy, Homa, Finau, Rahm, Cantlay, Schauffele, Day, Zalatoris, Harman, and Sungjae Im. As for stats to avoid,Prox 75-125andSand Saves Gainedsaw the biggest drop in importance. Outside of Majors, this is poised to be the strongest field in golf this year. Hes 3rd in Greens in Regulation, 6th in Scrambling, and 29th in SG Putting. Distances for golf clubs - AEC Info Arnold Palmer Invitational Tips 2023, Steve Bamford's Preview Hes 19th on Tour in Par 5 Scoring and 4th in Par 4 Scoring. Matsuyama ranks No. The Wedge Guy: Are you really willing to get better at golf? Hitting the Green From 200 Yards. That also checks out when looking at Riviera CC itself, as he ranks No. Wrap that altogether and the top-10 players in terms of Comp Course History are Scottie Scheffler, Collin Morikawa, Will Zalatoris, Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Hideki Matsuyama, Xander Schauffele, Keegan Bradley, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Shane Lowry. From one elevated event to another, the party was only just getting started in Phoenix. No surprise here. "On the PGA Tour, from 20 yards in the rough, when you have at least 10 yards of green to work with, [Tour pros] leave 50 percent of their shots outside of eight feet." Why the key to. The top 10 players in Good Drives Gained are: Morikawa, Hahn, Fitzpatrick, Lowry, Sungjae Im, Martin Laird, Kevin Streelman, Harris English, Nick Taylor, and Luke List. An average 3-wood shot carried 238 yards and the average 5-wood carried 223 yards. It should begin to populate by midday Monday as sportsbooks open odds for the API. Tony Finau can confirm. Having an accurate idea of your average distance for each of your clubs is extremely important. Proximity to Hole from < 10 yards | PGA TOUR Stats To watch in a smaller size, scroll down while your video is playing. The PGA Tour returns this week after Chris Kirk was able to hold off 34-year -old longshot rookie Eric Cole in a playoff. My advice to Frank Nobilo is to ignore proximity and use SG approach instead to silence the critics. For the week, Casey's average proximity was 41 feet 11 inches. 10 players rank above-average in each of this weeks top-10 correlated stats with success at Riviera CC. He averaged 303 yards off the tee at PGA National, 29th in the field. Like last week at TPC Scottsdale, correlation stats at Riviera CC are fairly on par with the TOUR average. George Thomas is the course architect behind both Riviera CC and LACC, with a common design philosophy displayed on both courses. PGA Tour vs. Champions Tour Course Lengths - GolfWRX He didnt look great in exhibition display in Decembers The Match, but it will be interesting to see what a couple more months of rest and rehabilitation can do for his ailing Plantar Fasciitis. Against a watered-down field last week, Im had the pressure of a former Honda winner, carrying the burden of tournament favorite. Start the Golf Season off right with InsideGOLF ($100 value - just $20). 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. Eric Cole's roller coaster stretch, which includes both tragedy and The top-10 from this range are: Suh, Montgomery, Day, Fitzpatrick, Todd, Finau, Andrew Putnam, Cam Davis, Sam Ryder, and Lucas Herbert. To score around here, every facet of a player's game is tested to the maximum. 80-100 yards. February27February 27, 2023. rory mcilroy pga tour career mode best attributes. Thanks for reading and good luck navigating 2023 Genesis Invitational odds! Scoring on the par 5s is crucial to ones success at Bay Hill, as there arent a great deal of real birdie opportunities otherwise, but much like a major championship, the golf course will test all areas of ones game. With the strongest field weve seen in recent memory on tap this week, the stakes will be higher than ever before. So just as the Homa in California trend continues to pay dividends, Zalatoris in difficult conditions is one of the most reliable narratives in professional golf to go back to. That high Missed-Fairway percentage also correlates with one of the lowest Green-In-Regulation percentages on TOUR. Scott credited his repeated success at Riviera to his comfort on Poa greens. Last year, 21.7% of approach shots came from 150-175 yards, which is a touch above the TOUR average of 20.3%. Annually one of the most difficult scoring venues on the PGA TOUR schedule, its always a good idea to reference recent Major results in Arnold Palmer Invitational week, as Scheffler foreshadowed with his 2022 victory. That attracts the best players each year to compete and test their all around skillsets ahead of Major season. Let the right arm straighten in the downswing. Missouri Valley Touranment Odds: Which Veteran-Laden Team Prevails? Now he arrives more in the role of an underdog with the price to go along with it, but at a course at which hes experienced very high level success. Both are difficult tests that favor distance over precision off the tee with a classical and tree-lined look, and share the Tom Fazio influence after his renovations to Riviera in the 2000s. Riviera CC also features a number of elevation changes and is heavily bunkered both around the fairways and green-side complexes. Note, he has a 10th place finish here at Bay Hill, a 17th in Scottsdale, and lost to Justin Thomas in a playoff at Southern Hills in the 2022 PGA Championship. The stretching 7,466 yard, Par 72 features a set of tough par-4s, plus 3 of the par-5s measure over 555 yards. It is also worth noting that he is No. For the week, Caseys average proximity was 41 feet 11 inches. But even then, the very best putters on Tour are averaging just over 80' of made putts per round. The minimum and maximum yardage for golf holes to be par 3, par 4, par Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 Tips: JT leads Jamie's picks for Bay Hill. He has contributed to a variety of national and local publications, specializing in sports writing. He put all of his shot-making skillsets on display from start to finish and used this event as an emphatic statement to be taken seriously among golfs rising stars. The wind at the Genesis Invitational today is absolutely insane!pic.twitter.com/TMz44EvdDq. And, like Novak, he's doing it nicely. Eliminate the longest five and the shortest five, and then figure out the middle of the remaining group. That group includes Homa, Hahn, McIlroy, Matt Fitzpatrick, Cameron Yong, and Griffin. The fairways get narrower as you get closer to the green, encouraging even the longest hitters to take less than driver off the tee, and effectively removes wedge shots that would be more common on easier layouts. If you want to bet on Tiger for the novelty of it, there is a non-zero chance he finds his way into the weekend through his short game alone.